...a night or so ago, somebody finally tried a poll of cell phone users between the ages of 18 and 29. John Zogby conducted the survey in conjunction with Rock the Vote and the results showed Kerry at 55 percent and Bush at 40.Read the rest of this post...
Then the Kerry people ran their own poll, which took a lot of work. It was the first time they had reached any cell phone users. The result was Kerry 59 and Bush 39.
Then I saw on television yesterday, and I hate to single him out, but he singled himself out, this fellow Bill Schneider on CNN and he is their election expert and he said that cell phones didn't mean anything. He's right. They didn't mean anything in 1950.
Oh, but these young people never vote, the tales read. They will this time, and because of a one-word issue.
Draft.
Every time Bush, or one of these generals he has, stands up and says there will be no military draft, everybody young figures this means there probably will be one by January, which will put them in the real battlegrounds. They rush to register, and then today they go to the polls to vote.
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Great Jimmy Breslin article
Thanks to Ann for posting the link to this article in the comments:
My Soapbox Moment, a.k.a. November Third
First of all, I'll just add my voice to the chorus -- Kerry will win, polls look good, turnout is key, blah blah blah.
But for some reason today, I remembered a speech President Clinton gave in late November 1999. It was just after "major combat operations" in Kosovo had ended, the US-led coalition was victorious, and Sean Hannity was looking stupid after giving aid and comfort to the enemy by criticizing Clinton on that war at every opportunity.
Clinton was speaking to a group of ethnic Albanians in Kosovo, who as you may recall were being slaughtered in Milosevic's round of "ethnic cleansing." There, US soldiers really were treated as liberators, the war was managed well enough to limit casualties, and there was a good plan in place to win the peace. The crowd, despite what they had been through, was very happy to see the President.
"You can never forget the injustice that was done to you," Clinton said to the crowd. "No one can force you to forgive what was done to you. But you must try."
Clinton's words were not easily received, as he suspected. But they were the right ones.
I look at how polarized and how angry this country has become -- D's vs. R's, libs vs. cons vs neocons, doves vs. chickenhawks, blah blah blah. I look at how hateful and spiteful people act toward one another. We all hear it and we get wrapped up in it and we spin it and it gets worse. I readily admit that I'm as guilty of it as anyone.
I'm not saying, "go hug a freeper." But I am saying that the burden is on us, win OR lose, to understand that our country can't continue on its current course of division and spite. We have to reach out to those who don't agree with us and tell them we know this is their country too, and yes, their opinions matter, and the only reason we can't work together to solve tough problems is we don't try hard enough. I'm not saying we should cave on our principles, not even a bit. But progress begins with a single step, and I say our side should take it.
Why is the burden on us? Because we're better than all this. This shouldn't be about eye for an eye. It shouldn't be about stooping to someone else's level. It SHOULD be about healing the divisions that happened after 2000. Some would say after 1992. Some would say 1968. Whenever it started, it has to end. We have to heal.
I honestly think George Bush can't heal this country. The decisions he's made -- and the unilateral nature of them -- have just poisoned the well too much. If he wins (and no, I don't think he will, blah blah blah), I sincerely hope I'm wrong. I think, I hope, I pray John Kerry still has a chance to. I honestly feel he wants to.
No one can force us to forgive the Republicans for all the shit they've pulled. But on November third, we must try. Seriously, if you have a problem with that, go to Kosovo.
Read the rest of this post...
But for some reason today, I remembered a speech President Clinton gave in late November 1999. It was just after "major combat operations" in Kosovo had ended, the US-led coalition was victorious, and Sean Hannity was looking stupid after giving aid and comfort to the enemy by criticizing Clinton on that war at every opportunity.
Clinton was speaking to a group of ethnic Albanians in Kosovo, who as you may recall were being slaughtered in Milosevic's round of "ethnic cleansing." There, US soldiers really were treated as liberators, the war was managed well enough to limit casualties, and there was a good plan in place to win the peace. The crowd, despite what they had been through, was very happy to see the President.
"You can never forget the injustice that was done to you," Clinton said to the crowd. "No one can force you to forgive what was done to you. But you must try."
Clinton's words were not easily received, as he suspected. But they were the right ones.
I look at how polarized and how angry this country has become -- D's vs. R's, libs vs. cons vs neocons, doves vs. chickenhawks, blah blah blah. I look at how hateful and spiteful people act toward one another. We all hear it and we get wrapped up in it and we spin it and it gets worse. I readily admit that I'm as guilty of it as anyone.
I'm not saying, "go hug a freeper." But I am saying that the burden is on us, win OR lose, to understand that our country can't continue on its current course of division and spite. We have to reach out to those who don't agree with us and tell them we know this is their country too, and yes, their opinions matter, and the only reason we can't work together to solve tough problems is we don't try hard enough. I'm not saying we should cave on our principles, not even a bit. But progress begins with a single step, and I say our side should take it.
Why is the burden on us? Because we're better than all this. This shouldn't be about eye for an eye. It shouldn't be about stooping to someone else's level. It SHOULD be about healing the divisions that happened after 2000. Some would say after 1992. Some would say 1968. Whenever it started, it has to end. We have to heal.
I honestly think George Bush can't heal this country. The decisions he's made -- and the unilateral nature of them -- have just poisoned the well too much. If he wins (and no, I don't think he will, blah blah blah), I sincerely hope I'm wrong. I think, I hope, I pray John Kerry still has a chance to. I honestly feel he wants to.
No one can force us to forgive the Republicans for all the shit they've pulled. But on November third, we must try. Seriously, if you have a problem with that, go to Kosovo.
Read the rest of this post...
OPEN THREAD - Your predictions?
So, honestly, what do you think will happen? Who will win, by how much, and will we even know by tomorrow night?
Read the rest of this post...
Why I think tomorrow could be a Kerry blow-out
I, like many of you, sometimes have a hard time actually visualizing winning. Not that I don't think we'll win. I do. I just have a hard time believing that Bush will actually be gone in 24 hours. But I think he will be gone, and I don't think it will even be close. Here's why:
Rob in Baltimore has taken you guys through the numbers and the various scenarios, and he has Bush ahead in all of them. But what interests me particularly is the latest Zogby poll, cited below. Zogby says it's a dead tie, Kerry has all of Gore's states, Bush has all of Bush's states, and Florida is a dead heat. That would spell stalemate, but I think it spells a Kerry blowout. Why?
Because we're in a much better position than we were for years ago, and Bush isn't. Let me explain.
1. I personally know several Republicans who voted for Bush in 2000, and who are NOT voting for him now. I've heard tons of similar anecdotes from my friends about their Republican colleagues. There are also a few well-known conservatives like Andrew Sullivan who are now supporting Kerry, and conservative newspapers and magazines that have either endorsed Kerry or REFUSE to endorse Bush (the Detroit paper, the Economist, etc.)
2. I don't know ANYONE who was a Gore supporter in 2000 who isn't supporting Kerry in 2004. Not a soul. We can all name former Bush supporters who are NOT voting for Bush. I can't name a single former Gore supporter who isn't voting for Kerry. Bush has lost some of his support, Kerry hasn't lost a single voter.
3. But couldn't Bush make up the lost supporter elsewhere? Sure, but has he? The religious right? No. The LA Times recently revealed that Bush isn't polling nearly as well with the religious right as he had planned.
4. But what about the GOP getting more votes this time through increased voter turnout? Maybe. But there's every reason to believe Kerry will get at least as big an increase in turnout as Bush, so it's a wash - and actually, I'd say Kerry gets an even GREATER increased turnout as our people HATE Bush, and they don't want to see another election stolen. As many conservative commentators have noted, we hate him a lot more than they love him. That means our increase in turnout should be larger.
5. Finally, there's the Nader voters. He just isn't polling as high this time as in 2000. That means that even with all things being equal, we have more of the Nader voters than we had last time (and last time, at least, Nader took 2 from Gore for every 1 from Bush).
All of that means that even if the nation is still divided, even if the nation is still where it was 4 years ago, Kerry and the Democrats are still better off vis-a-vis 4 years ago than are the Republicans. For that reason, I have a feeling we're gonna whip Bush's ass tomorrow night. And it's not even gonna be close. Read the rest of this post...
Rob in Baltimore has taken you guys through the numbers and the various scenarios, and he has Bush ahead in all of them. But what interests me particularly is the latest Zogby poll, cited below. Zogby says it's a dead tie, Kerry has all of Gore's states, Bush has all of Bush's states, and Florida is a dead heat. That would spell stalemate, but I think it spells a Kerry blowout. Why?
Because we're in a much better position than we were for years ago, and Bush isn't. Let me explain.
1. I personally know several Republicans who voted for Bush in 2000, and who are NOT voting for him now. I've heard tons of similar anecdotes from my friends about their Republican colleagues. There are also a few well-known conservatives like Andrew Sullivan who are now supporting Kerry, and conservative newspapers and magazines that have either endorsed Kerry or REFUSE to endorse Bush (the Detroit paper, the Economist, etc.)
2. I don't know ANYONE who was a Gore supporter in 2000 who isn't supporting Kerry in 2004. Not a soul. We can all name former Bush supporters who are NOT voting for Bush. I can't name a single former Gore supporter who isn't voting for Kerry. Bush has lost some of his support, Kerry hasn't lost a single voter.
3. But couldn't Bush make up the lost supporter elsewhere? Sure, but has he? The religious right? No. The LA Times recently revealed that Bush isn't polling nearly as well with the religious right as he had planned.
4. But what about the GOP getting more votes this time through increased voter turnout? Maybe. But there's every reason to believe Kerry will get at least as big an increase in turnout as Bush, so it's a wash - and actually, I'd say Kerry gets an even GREATER increased turnout as our people HATE Bush, and they don't want to see another election stolen. As many conservative commentators have noted, we hate him a lot more than they love him. That means our increase in turnout should be larger.
5. Finally, there's the Nader voters. He just isn't polling as high this time as in 2000. That means that even with all things being equal, we have more of the Nader voters than we had last time (and last time, at least, Nader took 2 from Gore for every 1 from Bush).
All of that means that even if the nation is still divided, even if the nation is still where it was 4 years ago, Kerry and the Democrats are still better off vis-a-vis 4 years ago than are the Republicans. For that reason, I have a feeling we're gonna whip Bush's ass tomorrow night. And it's not even gonna be close. Read the rest of this post...
Latest Zogby
Kerry Leads in Six 2000 Blue States (IA, MI, MN, NM, PA, WI);
Bush Leads in Three 2000 Red States (CO, NV, OH);
Florida a Dead Heat at 48%,
New Reuters/Zogby Ten States Battleground Poll Reveals
With the nation's first ballots set to be cast just hours from now, Zogby International's latest ten-state battleground poll shows a dead-heat in Florida, with Democrat John Kerry leading in the battleground states Vice President Gore took in 2000—and President Bush leading in the battlegrounds he captured that year. The telephone polls of approximately 600 likely voters per state were conducted from Thursday through Sunday (October 28-31, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.
CO Bush +2
FL Tied
IA Kerry +5
MI Kerry +6
MN Kerry +6
NM Kerry +3
NV Bush +5
OH Bush +6
PA Kerry +4
WI Kerry +6 Read the rest of this post...
Bush Leads in Three 2000 Red States (CO, NV, OH);
Florida a Dead Heat at 48%,
New Reuters/Zogby Ten States Battleground Poll Reveals
With the nation's first ballots set to be cast just hours from now, Zogby International's latest ten-state battleground poll shows a dead-heat in Florida, with Democrat John Kerry leading in the battleground states Vice President Gore took in 2000—and President Bush leading in the battlegrounds he captured that year. The telephone polls of approximately 600 likely voters per state were conducted from Thursday through Sunday (October 28-31, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.
CO Bush +2
FL Tied
IA Kerry +5
MI Kerry +6
MN Kerry +6
NM Kerry +3
NV Bush +5
OH Bush +6
PA Kerry +4
WI Kerry +6 Read the rest of this post...
Cheney invokes Pearl Harbor to attack Kerry
It was only a matter or time. Last week it was the Soviet Union. Now Pearl Harbor. In the waning hours tomorrow we'll probably be hearing a lot from Dick Cheney about John Kerry's nefarious influence on the War of 1812, the 100 Years' War, and the Roman conquest of Ethiopia.
Vote this Dick out of office. Read the rest of this post...
Vote this Dick out of office. Read the rest of this post...
More Christian right angst about Bush, and infighting
Note this little missive from the religious right's propganda organ, the AgapePress. Not only does it show the Christian Coalition in a very poor light, but it also essentially touts a 3d party candidate who would most likely steal Bush voters rather than Kerry.
These guys don't publish ANYTHING without a reason, and they pretty much never publish anything that would help a Democrat. Still, now they're attacking another religious right group and telling their minions that there's another conservative out there who is THE MOST CHRISTIAN guy on the ticket. If that's not a subtle snub at Bush... There is clearly some estrangement going out between Bush and the religious right:
These guys don't publish ANYTHING without a reason, and they pretty much never publish anything that would help a Democrat. Still, now they're attacking another religious right group and telling their minions that there's another conservative out there who is THE MOST CHRISTIAN guy on the ticket. If that's not a subtle snub at Bush... There is clearly some estrangement going out between Bush and the religious right:
...A representative of a group that claims it has the most conservative platform of any U.S. political party feels that party has been snubbed by the Christian Coalition of America in its "Voter Guide." Constitution Party presidential candidate Michael Peroutka's name does not appear in the pre-election publication, and Constitution Party spokesman John Lofton is not happy about it. "We were shocked," he says, "to find out that the Christian Coalition not only did not list us as a presidential candidate, but when I called, they clearly were not interested in listing us at all." Lofton says the man responsible for the guide, Drew McKissick, did not think it was the coalition's job "to tell Christians who the most Christian candidate was" and said this was "a subjective judgment." The Christian Coalition Voter Guide only provides information on the two main candidates, a practice the group has always followed. Still that does not ease Lofton's mind; he calls the guide's omission of the Constitution Party "a shame" that destroys the Coalition's already limited credibilityRead the rest of this post...
Vote for this one reason alone
FOX News will be persona non grata for 4 years.
Boston Globe via CrooksAndLiar.com:
Boston Globe via CrooksAndLiar.com:
John Sasso, a senior adviser to John F. Kerry's presidential campaign, threatened to ban Fox News staff from the candidate's plane Friday night when Fox initially refused to apologize for a talk show host's comment that a new videotape showed Osama bin Laden with a Kerry button.Read the rest of this post...
First-hand report of voting mess in Florida
From someone I trust:
Well, the police are in riot gear. Protestors for both sides could explode. Lines are 5 hours long for early voters. The reason for the wait is for early voter registration verification. Tomorrow it shouldn't be that bad. The machines are very sensitive and if the voter doesn't mark the ballot in exactly the right spot, it has been defaulting to Bush. The polsters can recalibrate it, but they have to be advised. The lawyers are fighting, The Repubs are fighting where the end of the line is at the end of the time deadline, and are trying to suppress the amount of people that can enter after the deadline. I'm still waiting for my guys emails, and he has taken some pictures from his cell phone, but I can't receive them on mine so we are trying to figure out what to do. It's very hostile. My guy says it's surreal.Read the rest of this post...
Bill O'Reilly Poll -- Go Get 'Em!
Hannity's poll is back up, so jump on it. (You can use the link below.) Bill O'Reilly has a poll up too and says he'll read the results on air tonight. Jump on it! We've been kicking ass in the online polls all year. And wouldn't it be great to hear O'Reilly dub Kerry the winner in an online poll from his own website and then have to explain it away. Plus it would put a glimmer of dismay into the hearts of Bush supporters and maybe keep a few of them away from the polls on Tuesday. Thanks Brad Friedman for the heads up on O'Reilly's poll. Vote! Vote! Vote!
Read the rest of this post...
Read the rest of this post...
ATTACK Hannity's online poll
UPDATE: Oops, Hannity has now PULLED the poll. Guess he took a page out of the Republican play book in Florida. If you're losing, pull a Katherin Harris.
Apparently, Hannity likes to rely on these ridiculous polls. It's on this page, scroll down to the left, you'll see a poll about Osama's video and who Osama wants to win - gimme a break.
Read the rest of this post...
Want lower oil prices? VOTE KERRY says the oil markets
So it looks like the oil markets think that a Kerry win means cheaper oil. Gee, ya think? From Reuters:
Oil prices fell sharply on Monday on speculation that a U.S. election win for Senator John Kerry could ease the geopolitical friction that has helped fuel this year's record-breaking rally.What's that? The oil markets think John Kerry can bring a fresh start to the war in Iraq? Sounds good to me. Read the rest of this post...
U.S. light crude settled down $1.63 to $50.13 after diving as low as $49.30 a barrel, breaking below $50 the first time in nearly a month. U.S. crude peaked a week ago at $55.67 a barrel.
In London, Brent crude lost $1.92 to $47.06 a barrel.
Energy analysts said a win for the challenger Kerry in Tuesday's U.S. presidential election could mean lower crude prices than if President Bush (news - web sites) were reelected. Latest opinion polls can barely separate the two.
More evidence gay marriage was trumped up just to win votes
The Republicans are just a bunch of hateful hateful people. It's disgusting and an insult to the American people. Let's beat them back tomorrow and shut them up once and for all. From AP:
MARY CHENEY WHERE ARE YOU? Oh, back in the closet until after the election I guess, huh? Mary Cheney, you are a pathetic human being. -- Rob in Baltimore Read the rest of this post...
Some Michigan voters have received phone calls falsely claiming that Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry would make gay marriage legal, Kerry's Michigan campaign said Monday.Gee, think that these calls are going out to Democrats? Probably not.
Both Kerry and his running mate, Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, oppose gay marriage and say marriage should be limited to a man and a woman. Kerry has said he supports civil unions.
In a recording of a phone call played for The Associated Press, a young woman says: 'When you vote this Tuesday remember to legalize gay marriage by supporting John Kerry. We need John Kerry in order to make gay marriage legal for our city. Gay marriage is a right we all want. It's a basic Democrat principle. It's time to move forward and be progressive. Without John Kerry, George Bush will stop gay marriage. That's why we need Kerry. So Tuesday, stand up for gay marriage by supporting John Kerry.'
MARY CHENEY WHERE ARE YOU? Oh, back in the closet until after the election I guess, huh? Mary Cheney, you are a pathetic human being. -- Rob in Baltimore Read the rest of this post...
Katherin Harris gets her groove on
Watch this video. You need to get into it a little bit, then it gets good. Katherine Harris is ALL OVER this other congressman - she touches him, she giggles, she throw her head back in a hearty laugh, then touches him again. Three words: Get a bedroom. Read the rest of this post...
Florida sucks
I'm watching CNN and this is just amazing. First they've got a panel of 6 or 7 people looking at each absentee ballot to determine whether the signature on the absentee ballot is the same signature the person used to register to vote before, sometimes decades ago. Then they vote on whether to keep the ballot or not. I can't believe they're doing this again. Then CNN shows another woman who wasn't allowed to vote in FL because when she filled out her voter registration she failed to check the box that said she was mentally competent. So now she can't vote.
Read the rest of this post...
Now I'm Scared Again
For a year, I've been preaching that Bush has no natural base of support -- he hasn't satisfied the power-mad religious right (hence Pat Robertson's public dig at Bush), he has infuriated fiscal conservatives with his free-spending ways and he's dismayed strong-on-defense conservatives by ignoring the advice of his top military advisers almost every step of the way and bungling the peace in Iraq.
So why am I suddenly freaking out all over again? Some polls show Bush gaining ground from last weekend to this -- God knows why. And the constant drumbeat that the election is thisclose has me doubting my belief that 10 million new registered voters, waves of young people who can't be polled (cell phones) and who favor Kerry to a strong degree, and the expected high turnout (which is always bad for an incumbent) are maybe not enough.
DON'T YOU DARE GO TO THE POLLS ALONE. If you go alone, you are wasting an opportunity. Go before work and stay as long as it takes to vote and BRING A FRIEND. Talk to coworkers today about meeting up at the polls and grabbing a coffee or doughnut to stand in line. It's more fun and you'll make sure that even the people who swear they're gonna vote actually vote. Then take more friends on your lunch break on Tuesday. (They don't know you're just going along for the fun.) Then badger more friends to meet you after work at the polls as well. TURNOUT. TURNOUT. TURNOUT. The higher the turnout, the better for Kerry. Pollsters are giddy with the possibility that 60% of eligible voters might actually vote, an extremely high number. But anyone who DOESN'T vote should be ashamed of themselves. Since you're reading this blog, you're already a lot more informed and involved and passionate than most people and you HAVE to light a fire under those who care but can get too busy to bother.
I don't mind being scared on Monday and Tuesday. I just don't want to be scared on Wednesday. Somebody tell me we're gonna win.
Read the rest of this post...
So why am I suddenly freaking out all over again? Some polls show Bush gaining ground from last weekend to this -- God knows why. And the constant drumbeat that the election is thisclose has me doubting my belief that 10 million new registered voters, waves of young people who can't be polled (cell phones) and who favor Kerry to a strong degree, and the expected high turnout (which is always bad for an incumbent) are maybe not enough.
DON'T YOU DARE GO TO THE POLLS ALONE. If you go alone, you are wasting an opportunity. Go before work and stay as long as it takes to vote and BRING A FRIEND. Talk to coworkers today about meeting up at the polls and grabbing a coffee or doughnut to stand in line. It's more fun and you'll make sure that even the people who swear they're gonna vote actually vote. Then take more friends on your lunch break on Tuesday. (They don't know you're just going along for the fun.) Then badger more friends to meet you after work at the polls as well. TURNOUT. TURNOUT. TURNOUT. The higher the turnout, the better for Kerry. Pollsters are giddy with the possibility that 60% of eligible voters might actually vote, an extremely high number. But anyone who DOESN'T vote should be ashamed of themselves. Since you're reading this blog, you're already a lot more informed and involved and passionate than most people and you HAVE to light a fire under those who care but can get too busy to bother.
I don't mind being scared on Monday and Tuesday. I just don't want to be scared on Wednesday. Somebody tell me we're gonna win.
Read the rest of this post...
When Bunnies Attack
If you don't know the Bunnies' movies, you should. Famous movies re-anacted by Bunnies, in 30 seconds. Absolutely brilliant.
Here are the latest:
Here are the latest:
Freddy vs. Jason in 30 secondsAnd these are some classics:
http://www.starz.com/se/features/hareraising/freddyvsjason.html
Scream
http://www.starz.com/se/features/hareraising/scream.html
Texas Chainsaw Massacre
http://www.starz.com/se/features/hareraising/texaschainsaw.html
The ExorcistRead the rest of this post...
http://www.angryalien.com/0204/exorcistbunnies.html
The Shining
http://www.angryalien.com/0504/shiningbunnies.html
Titanic
http://www.angryalien.com/0604/titanicbunnies.html
FINAL FOX News poll: Kerry wins!
You know they're in trouble when FOX's poll shows Kerry ahead by 2.
Read the rest of this post...
REHNQUIST MUCH SICKER THAN INITIAL REPORTS SUGGESTED
MUCH sicker. From AP:Chief
Read the rest of this post...
Justice William H. Rehnquist disclosed Monday that he's undergoing radiation and chemotherapy for thyroid cancer and said he is delaying his expected return to the Supreme Court, a sign he may have a more serious form of the illness.
Rehnquist had planned to join fellow justices when they were back on the bench after a two-week break. But instead he issued a statement saying "at the suggestion of my doctors, (I) am continuing to recuperate at home."
Rehnquist was released from a Maryland hospital last Friday after undergoing surgery to have a tube inserted in his throat to help his breathing.
...
Dr. Ann M. Gillenwater of the University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center in Houston said that the combination of chemotherapy and radiation is the normal treatment for anaplastic thyroid cancer, a more serious type.
Rehnquist had been hoarse for several weeks before his hospitalization at the hospital in suburban Bethesda, Md. on Oct. 22. He had the tracheotomy a day later.
Rehnquist, a conservative who has been on the court since 1972 and chief justice since 1986, has had other health problems including chronic back pain and a torn leg tendon that required surgery.
In the statement, Rehnquist said he was receiving outpatient radiation and chemotherapy. Cancer of the thyroid, a gland in the neck that produces hormones to help regulate the body's use of energy, is generally treatable but can be more aggressive in older people.
...
Rehnquist left his town house outside Washington in a wheelchair on Monday morning. Journalists were kept on the sidewalk and unable to see much as aides helped the chief justice into a limousine.
The combination of radiation and chemotherapy raises the suspicion that Rehnquist's cancer is not one of the common types that are usually easily treatable, said Dr. Joseph Geradts of Roswell Park Cancer Institute in Buffalo, N.Y.
The most common types are papillary and follicular cancer, and they are generally responsive to radioactive iodine, Geradts said. Chemotherapy could be needed if it is the more aggressive form, called anaplastic, he said.
He noted that the gland is often removed as part of cancer treatment, but in cases of anaplastic cancer the thyroid sometimes cannot be readily removed.
The presence of a tracheotomy to ease Rehnquist's breathing also might indicate anaplastic cancer, Geradts said, since that form can squeeze the trachea.
Read the rest of this post...
Just a coincidence, or...
Ok, is it just a coincidence, or is it somewhat odd that the day before the election I'm suddenly seeing more email viruses in my in-box than I have EVER seen before. I'm wondering whether the annoying virus makers (or worse) thought it might be funny to shut down lots of computers on the day of the election...
I suggest everyone run the update on their anti-virus. It's a mess out there. Read the rest of this post...
I suggest everyone run the update on their anti-virus. It's a mess out there. Read the rest of this post...
US journalist punched, arrested by officer outside Florida voting office
Oh those Bush brothers. Whether it's an entire nation, or just a state, they fuck things up so well.
Read the rest of this post...
OPEN THREAD: The Electoral College
In response to my posting my electoral college call, the boards talked a good bit about the electoral college and whether we should keep it or get rid of it. Since that question is being polled right now by the media, I think it's worth talking about. Post your comments.
Read the rest of this post...
CALL FOR INFORMATION: BATTLEGROUND STATES
We've been hearing a lot about the "ground game" in the key swing states, I thought I'd open a thread for people to report what's going on in their states as they see it. Reports about the number of people holding signs, GOTV operations, etc. are welcomed.
Comment away... Read the rest of this post...
Comment away... Read the rest of this post...
Even more Gallup on swing states
There's a TON of state data here. Perhaps Rob can go through it and de-geekify it for us.
Final CNN/USA Today/Gallup showdown state polls underscore how close the presidential election between President George W. Bush and Democratic candidate John Kerry is likely to be. The polls show mixed results in six of the most hotly contested states -- with Kerry leading in one state (Minnesota), Bush leading in one (Wisconsin), and the results of four others (Iowa, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida) within the polls' margins of error. The polls were mostly conducted between Wednesday and Saturday, with polling in Ohio and Pennsylvania continuing into Sunday.Read the rest of this post...
Final Gallup Numbers: It's a tie!
From Gallup:
Two days before the election, the final CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll shows a dead heat in the presidential race, with President George W. Bush and Sen. John Kerry each receiving 49% support among likely voters in the final allocated estimate. Independent candidate Ralph Nader garners 1% of the vote, and all other candidates an additional 1%.Read the rest of this post...
The poll was conducted Oct. 29-31 among 2,014 national adults and includes 1,573 likely voters, and was weighted to reflect an estimated voter turnout of 60%. The final numbers also reflect Gallup's judgment of how undecided voters will cast their ballots.
Before allocation of the undecided vote, Gallup's likely voter model shows Bush ahead by two points, 49% to 47%, while the results among all registered voters show Kerry with a two-point lead, 48% to 46%.
The Cheney's extended family
And yet Rove still won't let him be seen with Mary. . .
(I totally stole this from the brilliant Wonkette.) Read the rest of this post...
Why do Republicans hate black people?
Of course, this time I'm kidding on the square :-) A judge in Ohio told the GOP to go Cheney itself - NO outside poll watchers can make challenges at the polls!
Thank God. Read the rest of this post...
Thank God. Read the rest of this post...
Youth vote could be BIG
The latest from Zogby:
Razor thin margin here, if there is one at all. The President still does not get above 48%. The real news here is that 18-29 year olds favor Kerry 64% to 35%, with 1% for Nader—and 0% undecided. When I see a low undecided number it means that group is going to vote. I am factoring this group to be 12% of the total vote -- but it could be higher. Each point it goes higher translates into two-thirds of a percent for Kerry -- if these numbers hold up.
Otherwise, each candidate continues to do well among his base constituency. Bush leads by 5 among Catholics and there is again a double-digit gender gap.
Today for the first time, terrorism outranks Iraq as the number two issue.
There are merely 2.9% of undecideds left. They are telling us they will vote. More tomorrow and into Tuesday morning if we have to... Read the rest of this post...
Razor thin margin here, if there is one at all. The President still does not get above 48%. The real news here is that 18-29 year olds favor Kerry 64% to 35%, with 1% for Nader—and 0% undecided. When I see a low undecided number it means that group is going to vote. I am factoring this group to be 12% of the total vote -- but it could be higher. Each point it goes higher translates into two-thirds of a percent for Kerry -- if these numbers hold up.
Otherwise, each candidate continues to do well among his base constituency. Bush leads by 5 among Catholics and there is again a double-digit gender gap.
Today for the first time, terrorism outranks Iraq as the number two issue.
There are merely 2.9% of undecideds left. They are telling us they will vote. More tomorrow and into Tuesday morning if we have to... Read the rest of this post...
Pentagon whistleblower harassed according to affidavit
Retired Lt. Gen. Joe N. Ballard had high remarks for Pentagon purchasing officer Bunnatine Greenhouse in an affidavit from last year. One can only imagine the outcome of this if Bush was to win on Tuesday.
A senior Army contracting officer who had criticized a contract given to Halliburton had been subjected to a racist and sexist work environment, her former supervisor, a retired general, said in an affidavit.Read the rest of this post...
BREAKING NEWS: Rehnquist NOT on the bench today
CNN just reported that Rehnquist will NOT be at work today. It was reported earlier that he left his house in a wheelchair. His paper statement said he was overly optimistic thinking he could go back to work this early. He's still getting chemotherapy and radiation on an outpatient basis.
If you had any doubt what's at stake in this election not just in Iraq, but here at home as well, this should make it clear. Our next President will have an enormous say over the course our nation's life. That impact could last for a GENERATION with Supreme Court appointments.
FOUR WORDS: CHIEF JUSTICE ANTONIN SCALIA
If you had any doubt what's at stake in this election not just in Iraq, but here at home as well, this should make it clear. Our next President will have an enormous say over the course our nation's life. That impact could last for a GENERATION with Supreme Court appointments.
FOUR WORDS: CHIEF JUSTICE ANTONIN SCALIA
Yet another reason I'm ready for a fresh start. Read the rest of this post...
COMPARE AND CONTRAST: Final TV Ad Campaigns
So, take a look at the final TV ads cut by the campaign. Here is John Kerry's Your Hands, and here is George Bush's No Limit, which candidate makes you prouder to be an American?
Vote your hopes, not your fears. Our nation deserves to be the product of our collective hopes, not our worst fears. Read the rest of this post...
Vote your hopes, not your fears. Our nation deserves to be the product of our collective hopes, not our worst fears. Read the rest of this post...
Younger voters - why they matter
As you saw in my previous post, AP said:
Voter turnout is likely to be higher than in recent presidential elections - especially among young voters - in a very close race, weekend polls suggest.Couple that with what Zogby said this morning:
The real news here is that 18-29 year olds favor Kerry 64% to 35%, with 1% for Nader -- and 0% undecided. When I see a low undecided number it means that group is going to vote. I am factoring this group to be 12% of the total vote -- but it could be higher. Each point it goes higher translates into two-thirds of a percent for Kerry -- if these numbers hold up.The higher the voter turnout among young voters, then the more likely it will be for Kerry to win. Read the rest of this post...
Polls Suggest Higher Voter Turnout Likely
It's still a Get-Out-The-Vote game guys. From AP:
Voter turnout is likely to be higher than in recent presidential elections - especially among young voters - in a very close race, weekend polls suggest. Those polls suggest the race is very close nationally with some polls showing President Bush and Democratic Sen. John Kerry even and another showing Bush slightly ahead.This is it guys - it's the last day and the polls are showing the race tied and the expectation of a HUGE voter turnout. Both sides are energized, it's all about who brings more of their voters to the polls. Get involved, volunteer on election day, make phone calls, whatever it takes! Read the rest of this post...
...
More than eight in 10 registered voters in the Pew poll, 84 percent, describe this election as especially important, compared with 67 percent in 2000 and 61 percent in 1996.
Oh, By The Way...
Tucked away on page 12 of the New York Times was a quiet little AP story telling us that ANOTHER SITE WITH U.N.-SEALED ARMS WAS LOOTED!!! My God, this should have been on the front page of the paper. What drives me nuts about the story of the tons of explosives being taken from one site is the implication that it's the only one when there are COUNTLESS stories of screw-ups. The hundreds of tons from the one site, the nuclear technology looted over days (or weeks or months) from another site that we found about two weeks ago and now this.
"In a lengthy Oct. 6 report summarizing a fruitless search for banned weapons in Iraq, the inspectors known as the Iraq Survey Group disclosed that widespread looting occurred at Muthanna after the fall of the Iraqi capital in April 2003.
"An annex of the 985-page report said every United Nations-sealed location at the desert installation had been breached in the looting spree, and "materials and equipment were removed."
"Bunker 2 at Muthanna State Establishment, once Iraq's central chemical weapons production site, was put under the control of the United Nations in early 1991 after it was damaged by an American bomb in the Persian Gulf war. At the time, Iraq said 2,500 sarin-filled artillery rockets had been stored there."
Oops.
Read the rest of this post...
"In a lengthy Oct. 6 report summarizing a fruitless search for banned weapons in Iraq, the inspectors known as the Iraq Survey Group disclosed that widespread looting occurred at Muthanna after the fall of the Iraqi capital in April 2003.
"An annex of the 985-page report said every United Nations-sealed location at the desert installation had been breached in the looting spree, and "materials and equipment were removed."
"Bunker 2 at Muthanna State Establishment, once Iraq's central chemical weapons production site, was put under the control of the United Nations in early 1991 after it was damaged by an American bomb in the Persian Gulf war. At the time, Iraq said 2,500 sarin-filled artillery rockets had been stored there."
Oops.
Read the rest of this post...
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