Have the Democrats lost the young?Wrong analysis. The issue isn't whether Dems have lost young people. It's whether Dems have lost the new generation of young people that Obama brought into the process for the first time, and the answer appears to be yes. If we're back to where we were in 2006, pre-Obama, then that means the Obama factor did nothing to boost youth turnout this year. And that would suggest that we lost the new Obama youth. Completely.
Two years ago, the Obama campaign galvanized young voters, and they turned out and helped elect Democrats around the country. This year, voters under 30 were the only age group in which a majority voted for the Democrats, but relatively few of them bothered to show up on Tuesday. But that does not mean young voters are forever lost. Young voters are among the most transient and tend to sit out midterm elections. This year was no different.
Young voters did make up a decidedly smaller portion of the electorate this year: 11 percent, down from 18 percent in 2008, when many turned out for the presidential election. But their turnout this year was not much different from their turnout in the last midterm elections, in 2006, when 12 percent of the voters were under 30.
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Did the Dems lose the youth vote?
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