In Iowa, the Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby poll proved to be quite accurate. They've been doing daily tracking polls for New Hampshire and the final numbers show Obama with a big lead and McCain up by nine over Romney:
Democrat Barack Obama expanded his lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire to 13 points as voting began in the state's critical presidential primary, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Tuesday.Throughout the day, we'll hear anecdotes about turnout. One key piece of information to look for is how the independents are voting. In NH, independents can vote in either primary. If we hear that independents are voting Democratic, that bodes well for Obama -- and could be bad news for McCain. More after the break.
Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona also widened his advantage over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, taking a 36 percent to 27 percent edge after months of hard campaigning in the state.
So, perhaps Clinton's pollster Mark Penn now sees the bounce he claimed didn't exist on Saturday:
Obama continued to feed on the momentum from his performance in Iowa last week, when he and Republican Mike Huckabee scored breakthrough wins that left Clinton and Romney reeling.Zogby was probably the most accurate pollster in the 2000 presidential election. He fell out of favor after the 2004 election when he predicted a Kerry victory late in the afternoon of election day. Ugh, I remember so well reading that announcement. He did well in Iowa, we'll soon know how accurate he was in NH..
Obama, a senator from Illinois bidding to make history as the first black U.S. president, led the one-time Democratic front-runner 42 percent to 29 percent. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards was third with 17 percent.
"Obama is still on a roll and not slowing down. He had another big day," pollster John Zogby said.
