A new Pew poll shows Hispanic voters favoring Obama over Romney and Perry by a huge margin. Wash Post:
Obama leads Romney by 68 percent to 23 percent and Perry by 69 percent to 23 percent among Hispanic voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.2 percentage points for the sample.Though it's also a question of enthusiasm and turnout. Sure, hypothetically you might favor one over the other, but you still need to be motivated to get out and vote, donate, volunteer, and more generally to talk up the candidate. None of those necessarily go hand in hand with favoring the candidate in a poll.
Obama’s job approval rating has dropped among Hispanic voters by nine percentage points since last year, the survey found, dipping to 54 percent — in part because of a 15-point drop among Hispanic Democrats. His job approval among voters overall stood at 49 percent in a Washington Post-ABC News poll this month, meaning the president remains more popular among Hispanics than with the broader electorate.Well, that's one way of looking at it. Another is to note that 67% of Hispanic voters voted for Obama in 2008. Still, that's basically the same percentage that says they'll vote for Obama over Romney or Perry, so perhaps he's doing fine. Still, I worry about enthusiasm, not just among Hispanics, but among all core Democratic constituencies. I think the President has started to turn address that problem, but he needs to do more before the election.