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Is the next financial crisis looming in the derivatives market, again?



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It's probably the last thing that anyone wants to think about now that we're a few years into this crisis. When the problems keep getting pushed out and political leadership fails to lead by implementing serious reform, we shouldn't expect anything other than another crisis. Forbes:

Speaking in Tokyo, he pointed to derivatives, the financial hairball of futures, options, and swaps in which nearly all the world's major banks are tangled up.

Estimates on the amount of derivatives out there worldwide vary. An oft-heard estimate is $600 trillion. That squares with Mobius' guess of 10 times the world's annual GDP. "Are the derivatives regulated?" asks Mobius. "No. Are you still getting growth in derivatives? Yes."

In other words, something along the lines of securitized mortgages is lurking out there, ready to trigger another crisis as in 2007-08.


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