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Jobs are the keys to political recovery, but the GOP will still be extreme



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Paul Krugman points out that the media's discovery that the extremists have taken over the GOP isn't news. It's been happening for awhile. But, he also examines the tilt right during the recent economic crisis. I expected that same thing as Krugman. After the GOP leadership led to the economic crisis, I really did expect the American people to hold them accountable. But, that's not what happened -- and it's not what usually happens:

When the economy plunged into crisis, many observers — myself included — expected a political shift to the left. After all, the crisis made nonsense of the right’s markets-know-best, regulation-is-always-bad dogma. In retrospect, however, this was naïve: voters tend to react with their guts, not in response to analytical arguments — and in bad times, the gut reaction of many voters is to move right.

That’s the message of a recent paper by the economists Markus Brückner and Hans Peter Grüner, who find a striking correlation between economic performance and political extremism in advanced nations: in both America and Europe, periods of low economic growth tend to be associated with a rising vote for right-wing and nationalist political parties. The rise of the Tea Party, in other words, was exactly what we should have expected in the wake of the economic crisis.

So where does our political system go from here? Over the near term, a lot will depend on economic recovery. If the economy continues to add jobs, we can expect some of the air to go out of the Tea Party movement.

But don’t expect extremists to lose their grip on the G.O.P. anytime soon. What we’re seeing in places like Utah and Maine isn’t really a change in the party’s character: it has been dominated by extremists for a long time. The only thing that’s different now is that the rest of the country has finally noticed.
Finally.

And, this is another reason why Democrats should be doing everything they can to foster job growth.


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