comsc US Politics | AMERICAblog News: Louisiana a "dead heat"???
Join Email List | About us | AMERICAblog Gay
Elections | Economic Crisis | Jobs | TSA | Limbaugh | Fun Stuff

Louisiana a "dead heat"???



| Reddit | Tumblr | Digg | FARK

OMG.

The political pundits have obsessed about Pennsylvania, because the McCain campaign told them to obsess about Pennsylvania.

Meanwhile, the gap closed in Arizona, McCain's home state.

Now, a poll in another unlikely state shows a very close race -- Louisiana according to a poll from Loyola University for WAFB News:

While most polls show Democrat Barack Obama with a lead against Republican John McCain nationally, that's not the case in Louisiana, according to our poll. It shows the race is a dead heat in Louisiana, with 43% of voters saying they'll vote for McCain and 40% supporting Obama. With our poll's margin of error of plus or minus four-point-five percent, the results show a statistical dead heat.

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION (LOUISIANA)

MCCAIN: 43%
OBAMA: 40%
UNDECIDED/WON'T SAY: 17%
MARGIN OF ERROR: +/- 4.5%

The poll shows 93 percent of African American voters in Louisiana have a favorable opinion of Obama. "93 percent is almost total. It's unbelievable," Renwick said. "It's one of the highest percentages I've ever seen."
That's also pretty high undecided for five days out. There hasn't been a lot of polling in the state, but other earlier polls haven't shown the race this close (or with that many undecideds.)

Early voting has already ended in Louisiana. According to Dr. McDonald's site, 58.5% of early voters were Democrats compared to 28.4% Republicans. And, 36.3% of early voters were African-American (which is several points higher than average.) The early vote was double that of 2004. For a great backgrounder on Louisiana's voting registration, read this post.

So, Louisiana, according to a Louisiana based poll for a Louisiana t.v. station is a "dead heat." That might not capture the attention of the talking heads on cable news, but it sure intrigues me.


blog comments powered by Disqus