UPDATE: A new Rasmussen poll will show the Tennessee race has tightened dramatically and is once again a Toss-up....
The last round of Senate polls from MSNBC conducted by Mason-Dixon basically confirms what John posted last night from Charlie Cook's final predictions for Political Wire. The Dems. make some major gains in the Senate, even take it. But, the Senate races have tightened in Montana and Rhode Island:
In all, these key Senate races show the following:The numbers:* Two Republican incumbents in serious trouble: Santorum and DeWine. Democrats could gain two seats.
* Four Republican incumbents essentially tied with their challengers: Allen, Burns, Chafee and Talent. Four toss-ups that could turn into Democratic gains.
* Three Democratic incumbents with leads: Cantwell, Menendez, and Stabenow.
* One Republican incumbent ahead of his challenger: Kyl.
* One Republican open seat with the Republican leading, Tennessee.
* One open Democratic seat virtually tied: Maryland.
In Rhode Island, Chafee 46% - Whitehouse 45%.
In Montana, 47% even.
In Virginia, Webb 46% - Allen 45%.
In Missouri, McCaskill 46% - Talent 45%.
In Maryland, Cardin 47% - Steele 44%.
Disgusting, but it looks like Ken Mehlman's race-baiting campaign in Tennessee seems to have worked. Corker is moved ahead 50% - 38%.
In all these races, it's a ground game now. Getting out the vote is what matters.
