No one could have predicted we'd need more than 150,000 troops to win in Iraq, and even then no one could have predicted it would end up a nightmare.
Oh no, that's wrong. Bill Clinton's administration predicted that fact, and George Bush's administration ignored it.
Back in 1999, chaos was predicted from an Iraq invasion even if we had 400,000 troops over there:
The U.S. government conducted a series of secret war games in 1999 that anticipated an invasion of Iraq would require 400,000 troops, and even then chaos might ensue.No wonder Iraq is such a disaster. Rumsfeld, Bush and Cheney wanted to the Iraq war with fewer troops. A lot fewer. Experts were worried about chaos with 400,000 troops.
In its "Desert Crossing" games, 70 military, diplomatic and intelligence officials assumed the high troop levels would be needed to keep order, seal borders and take care of other security needs.